Iron Broom: Behind APC’s steady rise to dominance

Published 2 hours ago
Source: vanguardngr.com
APC

•How APC built a super majority in 12 years

•Tasks, challenges before ruling party

•Fubara’s impeachment, hardship, LG autonomy emerge as first hurdles

By Clifford Ndujihe, Politics Editor

With Friday’s defection of Kano State Governor, Abba Yusuf, from the New Nigeria People’s Party, NNPP, to the APC, the ruling party has hit a new mark in its political dominance of Nigeria.

Although, its 29 governors are yet to match the 31 held by the People’s Democratic Party, PDP, in 2003, the APC boasts of a better standing by having more seats at other electoral levels than the PDP had at its peak.

After the 2003 polls, the PDP reached its zenith of political dominance with 31 governors, 76 senators and 223 members of the House of Representatives. Today, PDP’s hold has shrunk to four governors, 26 senators and 37 Reps.
In comparison, following recent waves of defections the APC is standing astride Nigeria’s political landscape like a colossus.

What arguably began in 2013 as a coalition of strange bedfellows – forged in opposition and baptised in dissent – has matured and morphed into the most dominant political force of the Fourth Republic.

Today, APC has the presidency, 29 governors, 78 senators and 248 Reps. It has a clean sweep of the 12 governors of South-South and North-Central geo-political zones, six of the seven in North-West, four of six in South-West and three of five in the South-East, making altogether 29.

Only seven states -Abia, Adamawa, Anambra, Bauchi, Osun, Oyo and Zamfara are governed by opposition parties. The All Progressives Grand Alliance, APGA(Anambra); Labour Party, LP(Abia) and Accord(Osun) control three while the PDP controls Adamawa, Bauchi, Osun and Oyo.

In barely 12 years, the APC has traveled from protest to power. It now controls the Presidency, a commanding majority of state governments, and two-thirds of the country’s legislative chambers. The broom, once a symbol of defiance, has become an instrument of authority.

To have two-thirds majority, a party needs 24 of 36 state houses of assembly, 240 of 360 Reps, 73 of 109 senators and 24 of 36 governors. The APC has surpassed these marks and looks forward to adding more.

As it is, the APC can pursue and implement its programme without the support of other parties at any level.
In June 2023, for instance, the Senate was finely balanced: APC held 59 seats, opposition parties 50. Consensus was compulsory. By 2025, that restraint had vanished.

Court judgments, deaths, defections and opposition implosion combined to tilt the scale decisively. Today, constitutional actions — amendments, veto overrides, impeachment proceedings, states of emergency — can be executed without opposition consent. Numbers, once negotiated, are now guaranteed.

When arithmetic overpowers argument

The controversy surrounding President Bola Tinubu’s emergency rule in Rivers State — approved amid claims of a disputed voice vote — offers a cautionary tale. When victory is assured, procedure risks becoming expendable.

Beyond plenary lies the Committee of the Whole, where laws are reshaped in fine print. Here, the absence of a vigilant minority can dull scrutiny and silence dissent.

In law and practice, a two-thirds majority is required for the most consequential decisions of state: amending the Constitution, overriding presidential vetoes, approving states of emergency, impeaching a president or vice president, and creating new states. On all these fronts, the APC no longer needs opposition support to prevail.

Challenges of dominance

Yet, with dominance comes an unavoidable question: what will the APC do with power so vast that persuasion is no longer required?

One of the major political hurdles before the APC hierarchy, currently, is the Rivers State political debacle.

Until early December 2025, Governor Siminalayi Fubara of Rivers State was officially PDP governor. His defection to the APC a few days after 17 PDP lawmakers jumped ship has made Rivers an APC state
Thus, the ongoing impeachment proceedings by the Rivers State House of Assembly against Fubara and his deputy, Ngozi Odu, is happening in an APC-controlled state and is a matter the APC leadership can intervene to restore peace between the governor and the legislators.

So, one of the major tasks before the APC now is ensuring that one of its newest governors, Fubara, is not impeached by an equally APC-controlled House of Assembly.

Nigeria faces existential challenges: deepening insecurity, biting economic hardship, contentious tax reforms that commenced on January 1, 2026, agitation for state police, and renewed calls to amend the 1999 Constitution and Electoral Act.

These are matters that demand persuasion, inclusion and restraint. Yet, legislative arithmetic now favours speed over debate.

The party must use its majority to address insecurity, resolve the tax issues, get local council autonomy, state police, fix roads, address economic challenges and rising poverty.

Recently, President Tinubu urged governors — most of them APC — to respect local government autonomy and release council allocations and threatened to ensure it through first line charge.

Another issue is giving Nigerians a new electoral act and ensuring that bye and off-cycle elections are free and fair among others..

From merger to political machine

The APC was formally unveiled in February 2013 through the merger of four political tendencies — Action Congress of Nigeria, ACN; Congress for Progressive Change, CPC; All Nigerian Peoples Party, ANPP, and a faction of the All Progressives Grand Alliance, APGA. At birth, its strength lay not in numbers alone but also in the strategic unity of Nigeria’s disparate opposition forces.

At formation in February 2013, the APC had 11 governors, 39 senators and 137 House of Representatives members. It was officially registered as a political party by the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, in July 2013.

The party’s profile changed dramatically in November 2013, when five PDP governors from Rivers, Kwara, Kano, Adamawa and Sokoto defected, swelling APC’s governorship tally to 16, senators 50, and Reps 180, which signalled the beginning of a seismic realignment.

From its historic victory in 2015, which ended the PDP’s 16-year rule, the APC has remained Nigeria’s ruling party, sometimes contracting, often expanding, but never relinquishing central power.

In 2015, it had 26 governors, 60 senators and 212 Reps.

In 2019, the APC had 20 governors, 64 senators and 212 Reps.The figure plummeted in 2023 to 20 governors,59 senators and 162 Reps at the 2023 polls

However, series of defections, among others, especially in the last three months, have catapulted APC to an unassailable political summit.

The shift has been driven by a combination of court rulings, defections and the gradual collapse of opposition ranks. Early judicial interventions altered party tallies, but it was the wave of defections in 2025 that decisively tilted the scale. The deaths and movements that followed further weakened minority parties, leaving the Senate with a diminished opposition and a ruling party in firm command.

APC electoral strength over time

2013 (Merger)

Govs — 11

Senators — 39

Reps — 137

2013 (post-merger)

Govs — 16

Senators — 50

Reps — 180

2015
Govs — 26

Senators — 60

Reps — 212

2019

Govs — 20

Senators — 64

Reps — 212

2023

Govs — 20

Senators — 59

Reps — 162

Now
Govs — 29

Senators — 78

Reps — 248

Why opposition leaders are rushing to APCAn avalanche of reasons have been adduced for the flurry of defections to the APC.

They include alleged fear of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission,EFCC, irredeemable crises in opposition parties, securing return tickets for polls, pressure from the APC in pursuit of alleged one-party state, love for President Tinubu and appreciation of his development strides, and desire to develop the affected states via alliance with the centre.

A host of opposition leaders flayed the defections to the APC saying it was scripted by the ruling party to turn Nigeria into a one-party state.

Former Anambra State Governor and 2023 presidential candidate of the LP, who on his part defected to African Democratic Congress, AdC, a few weeks ago, warned that mass defections weaken democracy but insists voters, not politicians, decide elections.

He said no political party can “capture” a region simply because a governor or key politician switches parties, arguing that democratic choice rests with the people, not defections.

Former Vice President and two-time PDP president candidate, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, who has also joined the ADC, accused the APC of shrinking democratic space; and backed ADC’s promise of rescuing the nation from the ruling party.

Echoing similar views, the PDP leadership said defections were coercive and threatened pluralism.
On its part, ADC alleged that APC is engineering one-party dominance

The ruling party pooh-poohed the accusation, claiming that some of the opposition parties were sinking ships that must be abandoned by those who want survival. It insisted tgat defections are voluntary and constitutionally protected, not evidence of a one-party agenda.

APC will manage PDP governors’ defections carefully — Yilwatda

Speaking on the issues, APC National Chairman, Prof. Nentawe Yilwatda, dismissed allegations of one-party state as balderdash.

Dismissing concerns that the wave of defections into the APC could usher in a one-party state, Yilwatda insisted that the ruling party is not pursuing a one-party agenda.

“Nigeria remains a constitutional democracy with clear provisions for multiparty politics. No party can impose a one-party state under our laws. What we are seeing are politicians making personal and political decisions based on prevailing realities,” he said.

He added that the responsibility of sustaining a vibrant opposition rests with opposition parties themselves, observing that democracy thrives on competition, not coercion.

On the political implications of PDP governors and other heavyweight politicians defecting to the APC, Yilwatda said the party would manage the influx with caution to avoid internal friction.

“Defections must add value to the party. We will ensure that loyal party members are respected and that new entrants align with the APC’s constitution, values and processes,” he stated.

Yilwatda said that the party would not sacrifice internal cohesion for political gains, assuring members that consensus-building and consultation would guide all decisions.

Benefits to APC

According to him, the entry of experienced governors and political leaders into the APC could strengthen governance capacity, enhance policy coordination between the centre and states and boost the party’s electoral prospects.

Conclusion

Armed with a super majority the central question is not whether the APC can rule — it clearly can — but how it will rule. Will this supermajority be deployed to strengthen institutions, deepen federalism and stabilise the economy? Or will it entrench a culture of legislative rubber-stamping and edge Nigeria towards de facto one-party dominance? Only time will tell.

Vanguard News Nigeria

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