Labor is favoured to win the Kiama byelection. A big loss could be the beginning of the end for Liberal leader Mark Speakman | Anne Davies

An ALP victory would be significant for Chris Minns, too, demonstrating that the premier’s pragmatic, populist and transactional politics is working

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Byelections often have a simple story and, beyond that, a broader political message.

The top line of Saturday’s Kiama byelection on the New South Wales south coast will be who replaces the convicted rapist Gareth Ward as the local MP in Macquarie Street.